Rise in Home Sales Not Expected to Last

Sales of previously occupied homes soared in AprilDecember. But, thanks to investor concern over the
thanks to the now-expired federal tax credits and nearEuropean crisis, the climb in interest rates was held off
record low mortgage rates. Economist almosttemporarily. Homeowners with adjustable-rate
unanimously agree the rise will be short-lived. The taxmortgages, however, will see slightly higher rates.
credits expired, and with all the other issues facing theAbout 7 out of ten ARM loans reset based on the
US economy, low interest rates alone will not beLondon Interbank Offered rate, which large international
enough for the housing market to make a fullbanks use when lending to each other. This rate has
recovery. The combination of strict lending standards,been climbing in response to the European crisis,
heavy consumer debt, and record unemployment willthough it remains well below where it was last year.
most likely drive demand down.In a healthy economy, the low rates would drive up
Previously owned home sales climbed more than 7demand in the housing market, but such a rise has
percent in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate ofbeen stifled by a weak job market and tight lending
5.76 million. The increase in sales also boosted prices,standards. The impact of the tax credit is expected to
with the median price for new homes climbing tostick around for a bit as homeowners were required
$173,000, about a 4 percent jump from April 2009.to sign an agreement by April 31st and close by June
Interest rates fell last week to their lowest level this1st to qualify. The current pace of home sales is 20
year, and almost reached the record-low set lastpercent below the peak set in September 2005, but
December. Economists cite the current debt crisis inmore than 25 percent above the record low set at the
Europe as a major cause, as investors wary ofbeginning of last year. The big question is how the
stocks have invested in Treasury bonds, whose yieldsmarket will respond to the tax credits expiring. With the
determine interest rates for 30 year fixed ratenear-record number of homes currently on the market,
mortgages.a questionable job market moving forward, and banks
Rates had been expected to rise after the expirationready to put thousands more foreclosed properties on
of the Federal Reserve's mortgage purchasingthe market, the outlook for the housing sector is very
program that helped rates reach a historic low inshaky.